Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 6.047326 6.898096 7.836533 8.950261 10.238318 11.683920 13.433140
2025-06-01 4.792623 5.868860 7.150517 8.795822 10.861271 13.380451 16.704364
2025-06-08 4.004653 5.162194 6.619652 8.601920 11.246904 14.681302 19.521874
2025-06-15 3.655099 4.917197 6.582048 8.959465 12.300680 16.878573 23.710906
2025-06-22 3.300306 4.602724 6.389823 9.050120 12.959384 18.570643 27.374715
2025-06-29 2.971259 4.275909 6.128808 8.989791 13.363282 19.906701 30.645273
2025-07-06 2.686408 3.976028 5.865063 8.879703 13.656224 21.078456 33.773348
2025-07-13 2.544364 3.869132 5.868521 9.163335 14.569928 23.289982 38.827805
2025-07-20 2.401894 3.744542 5.827528 9.363729 15.358944 25.371582 43.914662
2025-07-27 2.306963 3.683477 5.876352 9.707689 16.412497 27.998179 50.283939
2025-08-03 2.113540 3.444162 5.612553 9.495910 16.480358 28.911224 53.627620
2025-08-10 1.958991 3.255221 5.414011 9.373280 16.685246 30.077910 57.581534
2025-08-17 1.819684 3.082630 5.231790 9.267790 16.921060 31.348140 61.957670
2025-08-24 1.685137 2.907030 5.029033 9.104377 17.028918 32.383652 65.996980
2025-08-31 1.558649 2.735095 4.817629 8.902758 17.037834 33.218317 69.715804
2025-09-07 1.525613 2.728552 4.903989 9.273916 18.212717 36.525573 79.262950
2025-09-14 1.457345 2.651178 4.851896 9.368034 18.832349 38.748882 86.693364
2025-09-21 1.375010 2.540757 4.727871 9.305398 19.115848 40.281851 92.732159
2025-09-28 1.293492 2.425647 4.585426 9.191101 19.274941 41.555514 98.326229
2025-10-05 1.264541 2.410419 4.637171 9.485585 20.357154 45.028828 109.895012
2025-10-12 1.227657 2.376483 4.648336 9.693664 21.266676 48.209763 121.215146
2025-10-19 1.207735 2.375023 4.725037 10.050849 22.556355 52.449561 136.025205
2025-10-26 1.133361 2.256531 4.549796 9.830922 22.463503 53.301462 141.702844